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Market AnalysisBullish
78
BTC

Bitcoin Rebounds to $80K as Bulls Target $95K Next

Bitcoin hit $80,000 for the first time in three months, fueled by $630M ETF inflows. Traders see a run to $88K-$95K as likely, but a bear flag pattern on the daily chart could trigger a sharp drop to $60K if the breakout fails. Mixed sentiment prevails.

CointelegraphCointelegraph by William Suberg

Quick Take

1

Bitcoin reclaimed $80,000 after three months, buoyed by $630M in US spot ETF inflows.

2

Michaël van de Poppe sees a path to $92-95K without breaking the bull market trend.

3

Some traders warn of a bear flag breakdown targeting $60K if $80K doesn't hold.

4

MVRV ratio hit its highest since January, signaling strong onchain momentum.

Market Impact Analysis

Bullish

Breakout above $80,000 and strong ETF inflows suggest bullish momentum, but the bear flag pattern creates risk of rejection, keeping the outlook mixed.

Timeframeshort

Speculation Analysis

Factuality85/100
RumorsVerified
Speculation Trigger70/100
MinimalExtreme FOMO

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin climbed to $80,617 for the first time since late January, breaking a three-month deadlock.
  • ETF net inflows hit $630 million on Friday, fueling bullish momentum and price targets up to $95,000.
  • A bear flag pattern on the daily chart warns of a possible 30-40% decline to $60,000 if $80,000 breaks down.
  • The MVRV on-chain metric reached its highest level in three months, echoing the January rally's strength.
Bitcoin Price High$80,617Local high on Bitstamp
ETF Inflows$630MNet inflows on Friday
Bull Target$92K–$95KTrader forecast if breakout holds
Bear Breakdown-30-40%Potential drop to ~$60K

What Happened

Bitcoin pierced $80,000 during Monday’s Asian session, touching a local high of $80,617 on Bitstamp. The breakout ended a three-month hiatus below that level, with the weekly close landing as the highest since late January. Traders quickly shifted focus to higher targets, with some predicting a run toward $88,000 and $95,000 in the coming weeks. The rally followed a clean break above a key 21-week exponential moving average trend line — a level that has historically defined bull-bear pivots.

The Numbers

On Friday, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $630 million in net inflows, providing the fuel for the weekend surge. Bitcoin’s price last touched $80,000 in late January, and the MVRV ratio — an on-chain metric comparing market value to realized value — reached its highest level since that period, signaling renewed speculative interest. Analysts see upside to $88,000 as an initial target, with a sustained breakout opening the door to $92,000–$95,000. Conversely, a failure to hold $80,000 could trigger the bear flag pattern’s measured move, targeting a 30–40% decline toward $60,000.

Why It Happened

The move above $80,000 resulted from a confluence of technical and fundamental factors. The reclaim of the 21-week EMA after the February correction to $60,000 reset onchain indicators and cleared weak hands. Record ETF inflows injected fresh institutional demand, while the broader risk-on environment — with the S&P 500 at record highs — boosted crypto sentiment. Traders also note that the bear flag formation, while ominous, is invalidated if price closes above $80,000 on the daily chart, creating a reflexive buying opportunity.

Broader Impact

The breakout coincides with mixed macro signals. Fed dissent and cooling oil prices could support risk assets, but analysts caution that stock market highs may not be safe. If Bitcoin’s rally continues, it could drag altcoins higher, but a sharp reversal would ripple across the entire crypto market due to elevated leverage. The debate between a bull market resumption and a dead-cat bounce underscores the precarious position.

What to Watch Next

  • Whether Bitcoin holds a daily close above $80,000, confirming the breakout and negating the bear flag.
  • ETF flow data for Monday and the rest of the week — sustained inflows would bolster the bullish case.
  • MVRV ratio trajectory; a further spike could signal overheating, while a cooldown might support a healthy continuation.
Source: Cointelegraph

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

SourceRead the full article on Cointelegraph
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May 4, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC · Decrypt
Bitcoin Breaks $80K as Bulls Eye $95K Next | Bytewit