Bitcoin's 90-day uptrend mirrors bull market rally, analysts say
Bitcoin's 90-day uptrend from February macro lows is historically unprecedented, with analysts claiming it resembles a bull market rally. The price must reclaim the $88,000 weekly supertrend to confirm bulls' return, marking a potential end to the bear market.
Quick Take
Bitcoin's 90-day uptrend is the longest ever in a bear market.
Analyst Hyland says the rally mirrors bull market, not bear market behavior.
Reclaiming $88,000 weekly supertrend could confirm bullish reversal.
BTC hit macro lows under $60,000 in early February.
Market Impact Analysis
BullishHistorical analysis suggests Bitcoin's 90-day uptrend within a bear market is unprecedented and may signal the start of a bull market rally if key resistance at $88,000 is reclaimed.
Speculation Analysis
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin's 90-day uptrend is the longest ever within a bear market, signaling a potential shift to bull market dynamics.
- Analysts point to the reclaim of the $88,000 weekly supertrend as the critical confirmation for bulls to take control.
- The current rally mirrors bull market behavior, with resistance cleared at $77,000 and macro lows from February left behind.
What Happened
Bitcoin has rallied for 90 days straight after hitting macro lows under $60,000 in early February. The move has pushed prices up to local highs around $83,000, breaking through resistance at $77,000. Analyst Matthew Hyland notes this uptrend is unlike any bear market rally in history — it resembles a bull market rally instead. The market now approaches a critical test: reclaiming the weekly supertrend near $88,000. Doing so could confirm that the bear market is over and bulls are back in charge.
The Numbers
Bitcoin's 90-day uptrend marks the longest streak of daily gains ever seen during a bearish macro phase. The price bottomed below $60,000 in early February, then climbed over 38% to current levels. The rally cleared $77,000 resistance — a level that, in past cycles, broke at the start of bull runs. Now, the weekly supertrend sits at approximately $88,000. Historically, the last two bear markets ended with a +20% weekly candle pushing above this indicator. A similar move now would cement the trend reversal.
Why It Happened
The rally emerged from deeply oversold conditions. Bearish sentiment had reached extreme levels, and on-chain data hinted at accumulation. The break of high time frame resistance at $77,000 mirrored the setup that preceded previous bull cycles. With sellers exhausted, buyers stepped in, driving a sustained recovery. The 90-day grind upward suggests a consistent demand, not short-lived panic buying. If the $88,000 supertrend is reclaimed, it would flip the market structure from bearish to bullish, likely bringing in momentum traders and sidelined capital.
Broader Impact
A confirmed Bitcoin reversal would likely kickstart an altcoin recovery. It could signal the end of the prolonged bear market across crypto, restoring confidence and capital inflows. Institutional interest might accelerate, seeing the trend change as a buying opportunity. The move would also validate technical analysis models that view the supertrend as a reliable bull/bear filter, reinforcing its importance for traders.
What to Watch Next
- Whether BTC closes a weekly candle above $88,000 — ideally with a 20%+ surge — to flip the supertrend.
- Volume confirmation and momentum indicators like RSI breaking higher.
- A potential retest of $77,000 as new support, and how price reacts near the $83,000 local high.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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