XRP Risks 40% Drop vs Bitcoin Despite ETF Inflows
XRP faces a 40% decline versus Bitcoin as a descending triangle breaks down, but a nine-day streak of ETF inflows totaling $73.78 million suggests growing institutional confidence that may cushion the fall.
Quick Take
XRP/BTC weekly chart shows bearish descending triangle with break below support.
Downside target is 0.000011 BTC, implying 40.5% potential decline.
XRP ETF sees 9-day inflow streak totaling $73.78M, showing institutional demand.
RSI near oversold levels could signal a potential price bottom.
Market Impact Analysis
BearishBearish descending triangle breakdown suggests further downside, though ETF inflows may cushion decline.
Speculation Analysis
Key Takeaways
- XRP/BTC confirmed a bearish descending triangle after closing below 0.000096 BTC support on the weekly chart.
- The measured move projects a 40.5% decline to 0.000011 BTC if the breakdown extends.
- US spot XRP ETFs recorded nine consecutive days of inflows totaling $73.78M, signaling persistent institutional demand.
- RSI near oversold at 33 suggests a potential macro bottom, echoing patterns from mid and late 2024.
What Happened
XRP has lurched lower against Bitcoin, with the XRP/BTC ratio breaching a critical support at 0.000096 BTC. That weekly close lit the fuse on a descending triangle pattern that had been building since late 2024—a classic bearish continuation structure. The breakdown opens a path toward 0.000011 BTC, a level not visited in years and 40% below current prices. Yet the technical alarm is offset by a curious surge in institutional interest. Spot XRP ETFs in the US just stacked a nine-day inflow streak, absorbing $73.78 million. The setup pits bearish charts against rising professional bets.
The Numbers
The downside target math is straightforward: take the triangle’s height and extend it from the breakdown point. That lands XRP/BTC at 0.000011 BTC—40.5% underwater. The weekly RSI has slumped to 33, brushing oversold territory that previously marked turning points in June and October 2024. On the flow side, the nine-day ETF streak added $73.78 million, pushing cumulative net inflows to nearly $1.28 billion. Total assets under management hit $1.1 billion, a footprint that dwarfs many altcoin products.
Why It Happened
XRP’s relative slide tracks a broader Bitcoin dominance trade amid macro uncertainty. The descending triangle took shape as XRP/BTC printed lower highs repeatedly, with sellers capping rallies. The breakdown gained momentum after a clean weekly close below the 0.000096 BTC ledge. But the ETF bid tells a different story—institutions may be front-running regulatory developments or betting on an XRP comeback. That divergence creates a tug-of-war between momentum-driven technicals and conviction-driven capital flows. The result is a market at odds with itself.
Broader Impact
The XRP/BTC saga is a stress test for ETF-driven resilience in altcoins. Should institutional accumulation absorb the technical damage, it could embolden similar support for other tokens. A full-fledged 40% drop, however, would reinforce Bitcoin dominance and might sour risk appetite sector-wide. For now, the market watches whether deep-pocketed buyers can rewrite a bearish script that charts have been tracing for months.
What to Watch Next
- Whether XRP/BTC holds above 0.000091 BTC—a loss of that ledge would quicken the descent toward the 0.000011 BTC target.
- A bullish RSI divergence or bounce from oversold levels would mirror prior reversal signals from 2024 and hint at a floor.
- Sustained ETF daily inflows above $4 million would confirm institutions are backstopping XRP despite technical weakness.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always late to trends?
Join for the latest news, insights & more.
Disclaimer: Bytewit is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data.
© 2026 Bytewit. All Rights Reserved. This article is for informational purposes only.
